Gio Wiederhold PDM 14
Simulation results: likelihoods
time
•Next period alternatives
uncertainty increases
 and subsequent periods
0.4
0.6
0.18
0.15
0.13
0.25
0.2
0.17
0.4
0.3
   0.19
now
   0.1
0.11
0.12
0.3